Cost of the Future Newly Insured under the Affordable Care Act (ACA)

Source: Randy Haugh, John Ahrens, Society of Actuaries, March 2013

From the press release:
With less than a year to go before the major provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) take effect, new research published by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) predicts that expected changes in member composition of the individual health care market could drive up underlying claims costs by an average of 32 percent nationally by 2017. In addition, the study predicts high variability among states, with as many as 43 states experiencing a double-digit percentage claims cost increase and some states experiencing a double-digit cost decrease.